THE INTERNATIONAL 2026 · TEAM SPIRIT VS TEAM VISION · GAME 5 · MODEL V2

Spirit have the cleaner comfort shell.
TEAM VISION have stronger tempo counters.

Spirit’s Dark Seer–Pangolier teamfight can set up Lifestealer and Mirana to collapse on isolated targets, with Bane supplying clean single-target control. TEAM VISION answer with Invoker damage, Rubick spell theft and Axe initiation; Juggernaut must survive the first vacuumed fight for their five-man response to take over.

DRAFT COMPLETE · 10 / 10 PICKS VERIFIEDPRE-GAME MODEL · NO LIVE SCORE WEIGHT
TSP

Dire

Team Spirit

77.0%hero 1y
01
BA
Banerue · live pick
Hard support90.9%
02
PA
PangolierLarl · live pick
Mid73.3%
03
MI
Mirananot_me · live pick
Support66.7%
04
LI
LifestealerYatoro · live pick
Carry66.7%
05
DA
Dark SeerCollapse · live pick
Offlane87.5%
BANS
Bounty HunterNature's ProphetDoomWinter WyvernDark WillowFaceless VoidTerrorblade
PV

Radiant

TEAM VISION

79.2%hero 1y
01
IN
InvokerNo[o]ne- · live pick
Mid75.9%
02
RU
Rubick9Class · live pick
Support75.9%
03
AX
AxeNoticed · live pick
Offlane66.7%
04
HO
HoodwinkDukalis · live pick
Hard support100.0%
05
JU
JuggernautSatanic · live pick
Carry77.8%
BANS
Treant ProtectorShadow FiendLone DruidEarth SpiritSlardarCentaur WarrunnerPuck
Hero · 1 year average77.0 vs 79.2TEAM VISION comfort +2.2 pp
Current D2PT 7k+ average49.7 vs 49.9TEAM VISION meta +0.3 pp
25-pair counter check+0.11 ppTEAM SPIRIT · public current-month sample
Sample-adjusted signal57.2 vs 57.2small samples regressed

SATANIC · LEGAL GAME 5 CARRY BOARD

Every available signal, not just comfort.

50%+score is draft fit / 100
HOW TO READ: Score combines Satanic’s verified record, current TI/D2PT/Dotabuff meta and the Game 5 draft fit. Ranked pubs are displayed with their visible-data cutoff and are not allowed to override professional samples.
Rank / heroPick
score		On hero
at TI		On hero
1 month		On hero
1 year		On hero
pro all time		On hero
ranked pubs		TI hero metaD2PT 7k+Dotabuff metaDraft read
#1 · Juggernaut78/100legal pick score100.0%1 game100.0%1 game77.8%9 games61.5%13 games45.4%326 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 06:30 ICT50.0%2 games50.3%3,004 7k+ games52.07%Immortal · monthBest legal pick; favorable into Spirit’s Lifestealer and Pangolier.
#2 · Sven74/100legal pick score—not verified—not verified50.0%4 games55.6%36 games48.6%140 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 06:30 ICT50.0%16 games52.7%3,128 7k+ games51.77%Immortal · monthBest alternative for converting Axe–Invoker initiation.
#3 · Naga Siren69/100legal pick score—not verified—not verified66.7%6 games63.6%33 games60.9%483 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 06:30 ICT50.0%2 games53.6%3,069 7k+ games50.88%Immortal · monthSplit-map reset option; Pangolier is the major risk.
#4 · Anti-Mage65/100legal pick score—not verified—not verified83.3%6 games66.7%9 games54.7%477 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 06:30 ICT—not verified52.3%3,070 7k+ games49.66%Immortal · monthHigh comfort and 7k+ form, but Bane makes the game greedy.
#5 · Chaos Knight63/100legal pick score—not verified—not verified—not verified76.9%13 games75.0%36 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 06:30 ICT100.0%2 games50.1%3,012 7k+ games50.68%Immortal · monthBurst follow-up for Axe, with Dark Seer volatility.
#6 · Templar Assassin60/100legal pick score100.0%1 game100.0%1 game64.7%17 games70.9%55 games52.1%420 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 06:30 ICT16.7%6 games44.3%2,797 7k+ games46.49%Immortal · monthComfort pick, held down by weak current meta.
#7 · Meepo59/100legal pick score—not verified—not verified71.4%7 games81.3%16 games61.0%285 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 06:30 ICT—not verified54.1%3,074 7k+ games55.48%Immortal · monthHigh upside, but extremely punishable by Spirit’s control.
#8 · Weaver57/100legal pick score—not verified—not verified100.0%7 games75.0%20 games50.0%76 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 06:30 ICT—not verified45.4%2,955 7k+ games47.34%Immortal · monthPersonal form is strong; current elite meta is weak.
#9 · Troll Warlord56/100legal pick score—not verified—not verified100.0%5 games68.8%16 games41.2%68 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 06:30 ICT100.0%1 game48.1%2,981 7k+ games50.73%Immortal · monthComfort sample exists, but fights are too chaotic.
#10 · Phantom Lancer54/100legal pick score—not verified—not verified57.1%7 games42.9%14 games50.5%325 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 06:30 ICT42.9%7 games50.9%3,106 7k+ games53.52%Immortal · monthPublic meta is fine; Pangolier is the clear answer.

Excluded because unavailable at the pick: Lifestealer (Spirit pick); Terrorblade and Faceless Void (Spirit bans); Lone Druid and Monkey King (Vision bans).

AUTOMATIC HERO × HERO CHECK · 25 PAIRS

The pair-by-pair counter draft is almost exactly even.

OPEN D2PT 7K+ DRAFTER ↗
Sample-adjusted pair edgeTeam Spirit +0.11 ppadvantage versus normal hero baseline
Positive pair count13–12Team Spirit–TEAM VISION
Best Team Spirit answerLifestealer → Axe+3.33 pp · 241,988 games
Best TEAM VISION counterInvoker → Dark Seer+1.62 pp · 57,039 games
Team Spirit ↓ / TEAM VISION →InvokerRubickAxeHoodwinkJuggernautRow average
Bane+0.0469,031+0.0865,899-0.1658,643+1.3739,335+0.3548,473+0.30adjusted pp
Pangolier+1.7059,214+0.3354,808-0.6850,918-0.9529,628-1.1641,677-0.12adjusted pp
Mirana+0.25167,138-0.63186,658-0.47165,311-0.0499,649+0.13148,247-0.15adjusted pp
Lifestealer+2.21214,240+0.85198,436+3.33241,988+0.06109,269-1.16185,288+1.04adjusted pp
Dark Seer-1.6257,039-0.5658,238-0.6855,598-0.1833,202+0.1245,397-0.54adjusted pp

Green favors Team Spirit; red favors TEAM VISION. “Edge” is Dotabuff’s current-month matchup advantage relative to each hero’s normal win rate, with thin pairs pulled toward zero. This broad public sample is a counter check—not an Immortal-only model—and is deliberately kept separate from player comfort. Refreshed 23 Aug 2026 · 19:28 ICT.

MODEL V2 · PRE-GAME SCORECARD

Comfort leads. Counterplay keeps it close.

One-year player-on-hero history carries the most weight; public hero matchups and current elite meta adjust the forecast, but cannot override team execution.

COMFORT WINNERTEAM VISION77.0% vs 79.2%Exact hero · one-year professional history
META WINNERTEAM VISION49.7% vs 49.9%Current D2PT 7k+ win rate
COUNTER PICK WINNERTEAM SPIRIT+0.11 pp25 public hero-pair interactions, sample adjusted

PRE-GAME CHANCE TO WIN

TEAM SPIRIT 50% — 50% TEAM VISION

Comfort, meta and counterplay are combined; this remains a medium-confidence draft read before the first meaningful economic lead.

GAME 1 · FULL PLAYER × HERO HISTORY

All ten picks, every requested window.

50%+below 50%click headers to sort
FULLY UPDATED: Player TI form, exact hero history, ranked pubs, TI hero meta, D2PT 7k+ and Dotabuff meta are shown separately for every locked pick.
Team / playerDrafted hero
rueTeam Spirit · Hard supportBane66.7%27 games · 18–9100.0%1 game100.0%1 game90.9%11 games91.7%12 games65.2%23 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 13:40 ICT43.8%16 games50.3%last 8 days · 7k+51.35%Immortal · month60.2%small samples regressed
LarlTeam Spirit · MidPangolier66.7%27 games · 18–9100.0%4 games100.0%4 games73.3%15 games59.0%78 games52.5%61 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 13:40 ICT66.7%27 games46.7%last 8 days · 7k+47.43%Immortal · month63.9%small samples regressed
not_meTeam Spirit · SupportMirana66.7%27 games · 18–950.0%2 games50.0%2 games66.7%3 games73.3%15 games52.8%72 ranked pubsfeed through 20 Mar 2025 · 02:40 ICT45.1%71 games47.9%last 8 days · 7k+50.22%Immortal · month51.5%small samples regressed
YatoroTeam Spirit · CarryLifestealer66.7%27 games · 18–9100.0%1 game100.0%1 game66.7%3 games54.9%51 games51.0%147 ranked pubsfeed through 20 Mar 2025 · 03:28 ICT44.4%18 games51.7%last 8 days · 7k+53.19%Immortal · month54.6%small samples regressed
CollapseTeam Spirit · OfflaneDark Seer66.7%27 games · 18–950.0%2 games50.0%2 games87.5%8 games65.1%43 games60.9%46 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 13:40 ICT48.0%25 games51.7%last 8 days · 7k+50.70%Immortal · month55.7%small samples regressed
No[o]ne-TEAM VISION · MidInvoker68.2%22 games · 15–7—not verified—not verified75.9%29 games63.8%174 games57.9%171 ranked pubsfeed through 13 Mar 2025 · 20:27 ICT39.1%23 games52.4%last 8 days · 7k+52.09%Immortal · month59.7%small samples regressed
9ClassTEAM VISION · SupportRubick68.2%22 games · 15–766.7%3 games66.7%3 games75.9%29 games69.1%97 games50.3%310 ranked pubsfeed through 25 Feb 2025 · 18:35 ICT54.2%24 games49.6%last 8 days · 7k+49.85%Immortal · month59.7%small samples regressed
NoticedTEAM VISION · OfflaneAxe68.2%22 games · 15–70.0%1 game0.0%1 game66.7%36 games64.6%48 games68.2%44 ranked pubsfeed through 13 Mar 2025 · 20:27 ICT41.2%17 games48.6%last 8 days · 7k+48.72%Immortal · month51.1%small samples regressed
DukalisTEAM VISION · Hard supportHoodwink68.2%22 games · 15–7100.0%1 game100.0%1 game100.0%6 games58.8%34 games54.6%269 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 07:57 ICT42.3%71 games48.8%last 8 days · 7k+48.23%Immortal · month58.0%small samples regressed
SatanicTEAM VISION · CarryJuggernaut68.2%22 games · 15–7100.0%1 game100.0%1 game77.8%9 games61.5%13 games45.4%326 ranked pubsfeed through 15 Mar 2025 · 06:30 ICT50.0%2 games50.3%last 8 days · 7k+52.07%Immortal · month57.5%small samples regressed

Professional and meta records checked 23 Aug 2026. Ranked-pub rows are explicitly labeled with their visible-data cutoff and excluded from the prediction weighting.